The polls and mainstream media narratives are showing a very close national popular vote between President Joe Biden and former President Donald Trump, which would likely lead to a GOP trifecta in 2024. Braden makes the case for why Democrats could also get a trifecta, including discussions of incumbency bias and differences in candidate quality. This also includes a deep analysis of recent special election results, which have been very predictive of the national environment over the past two to three decades.